Saturday, March 20, 2010

Weekly 3LB Update for week ending 3/19/10

Weekly 3LB update (week ending 3/19/10)
a new high or low will change the reversal price and the midpoint

SPX
new high 1159.90
trend=up
high= 1159.90
rev= 1073.87; mid= 1116.89


monthly info -no change
rev=1020.62; mid= 1067.86




Dow Jones
new high 10741.98
trend=up
high= 10741.98
rev= 10067.33; mid= 10404.66


monthly info -no change
rev= 9712.28; mid= 10070.17




Nasdaq Comp
new high 2374.41
trend=up
high= 2374.41
rev= 2147.35; mid= 2310.88


monthly info -no change
rev= 2009.06; mid= 2139.11




DXY
new high 80.72
trend=up
high= 80.72
rev= 79.46; mid= 80.09


monthly info new high 80.39
rev= 74.88; mid= 77.64




Gold
no change (still trading above mid...barely)
trend=down
low= 1052.20
rev= 1146.80; mid= 1099.50


monthly info -no change
rev= 978.80; mid= 1079.95




VIX
new low 16.97
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 16.97
rev= 27.31; mid= 22.14

monthly info new low 19.50
rev= 25.61; mid= 22.56




WTI Crude Oil
no change (now trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 71.19
rev= 82.75; mid= 76.97

monthly info new high 79.65
rev= 77.00; mid= 78.33




Sugar #11
new low 18.64
trend=down
low= 18.64
rev= 24.13; mid= 21.39


monthly info -no change
rev=18.61; mid= 21.88




30 Year Bond
no change
trend=up
high= 47.02
rev= 43.92; mid= 45.47


monthly info -no change
rev=26.91; mid= 36.66




Silver (SLV)
no change (trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 14.90
rev= 18.22; mid= 16.56

monthly info -no change
rev= 9.58; mid= 13.87



EURUSD
new low 1.3536
trend=down
low= 1.3536
rev= 1.3635; mid= 1.3586

10 Year
no change (still trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 32.12
rev= 38.62; mid= 35.37

BAC
no change
trend=up
high= 16.85
rev= 14.45; mid= 15.60

AXP
no change (trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 37.66
rev= 42.39; mid= 40.03

AMZN
no change (trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 117.39
rev= 138.47; mid= 127.93

M
no change
trend=no
direction=up (2 bars)
high= 21.75
rev= 15.57; mid= 18.66

XLF
new high 15.69
trend=no
direction=up (2 bars)
high=15.69
rev= 13.94; mid=14.82

BKX
new high 51.13
trend=up
high= 51.13
rev= 44.82, mid= 47.98

Powershares USD Bull (UUP)
no change
trend=up
high=23.72
rev=23.08; mid=23.40

Goldman Sachs
new high 177.90
trend=up
high=177.90
rev= 154.12; mid= 166.01

TLT
no change
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low=89.29
rev= 99.01; mid= 94.15

Apple Computer
no change
trend=no
direction=up (2 bars)
high=226.60
rev= 192.06; mid= 209.33



MSCI Emerging Markets
no change
trend=no
direction=up (2 bars)
high=1001.80
rev= 898.60; mid=950.20



NIKKEI
no change (now trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low=10057.09
rev= 10982.10; mid= 10519.60



HANG SENG
no change (now trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low=19665.08
rev= 22589.73; mid= 21127.41



SHANGHAI A "Composite"
no change (now trading above mid)
trend=down
low=3082.35
rev= 3223.94; mid= 3152.21



Shanghai B Shares
no change
trend=up
high= 262.81
rev= 198.11; mid= 230.46


monthly info new high 254.06
trend=up
rev= 218.61; mid= 236.34




KOSPI
no change (now trading above mid)
trend=no
direction=down (2 bars)
low= 1567.12
rev= 1701.80; mid= 1634.46

Sunday, March 14, 2010

Let the games begin (opex week)



A close above the 61.8% at 1153.47 should lead to a test of the 85.4% at 1172.08. If bullish fever persists then the 100% at 1183.59 and 161.8% at 1232.33 are future targets. I seriously doubt that the 261.8% at 1311.19 will be seen anytime soon.



Added another fibo extension chart using the low of 1044.05, high of 1112.42 and retrace of 1086.02. The extension levels are very similar.