Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Daily Ruminations: Profit Taking or rush to the exits?

SPX long down day candle but the lower shadow indicates buyers are fighting back. Did get a daily 3lb reversal down though.

GOLD bearish engulfing (but I'd prefer a higher open). Weekly candle forming a bearish harami. Trading back below weekly 3lb mid.

WTI major down day (long closed candle). Yesterday it closed below trendline formed from 12/14/09 & 12/21/09. no daily 3lb reversal and still trading above weekly 3lb mid.

DXY high wave candle (lots of volatility). Not a doji but a small body candle. It's trending down on the daily 3lb but still above the weekly 3lb mid (76.81).

SPX:


GOLD:


WTI:


DXY:

9 comments:

  1. A purple background? Kind of hard to read...

    What does a "daily 3lb reversal" mean?

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  2. Daily three line break. 3lb is easier to type :)

    I'm going through color choices right now.

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  3. Hello AmenRa -

    Nice report.

    How does one interpret the 3lb?

    How do you identify it in your charts?

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  4. Wes,

    3lb (three line break) uses closing prices. Every new high(low) is a break. To take out three new highs(lows) does harm to the psychology of the market participants and is usually the beginning of a trend change. I use monthly 3lb for the long term view and weekly 3lb for the shorter term view. I have a post up with the monthly 3lb for the SPX going back to 1966: Long Term View of SPX

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  5. Wes,

    I didn't include the 3lb on the daily ruminations. Take a look at the weekly updates for the 3lb.

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  6. AmenRa-

    thanks for that explanation,

    i am still going to have to digest the full implications.

    i have an open mind

    Wes

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  7. @Wes,
    Ra posted this other 3lb link at ATs a while back that may help you ...

    Stator-Three Line Break

    @Ra-I bookmarked one you gave from Nison too, but the link broke - do you still have it?

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  8. 2small2bail,

    I was hoping someone had put Nison's book on scribd. No luck as of yet.

    ReplyDelete